Open Economy Macroeconomics

  • Closed economies assume that there is no exports nor imports, but many economies across the world require trade to function
  • These are open economies, and they are important because many countries and industries rely on international trade

National Income Accounting

  • In a closed economy, the equations Y = C + I + G and S = I are true because there is no outside trade
    • G and T represent government spending and taxes
    • Household disposable income is Y - T
    • Household consumption and saving is Y - T - C = SH, where C is a function of Y - T s.t. C = C(Y - T)
    • Government saving is T - G = SG
    • National savings are S = SH + SG
  • In an open economy, these terms change
    • C = Cd + Cf (where d = domestic and f = foreign)
    • I = Id + If
    • G = Gd + Gf
    • X = exports of domestically produced goods and services to other nations
    • IM = imports of internationally produced goods and serivces to a home nation
    • NX = exports - imports
  • These terms imply that domestic spending might not equal domestic output, nor will domestic saving equal domestic investment
    • Foreign spending and saving can make up the difference
    • Other terms might not be equal due to foreign-held capital and labor, but these differences are fairly insignificant
  • In an open economy:
    • Cd + Id + Gd + X - (C + I + G)
    • = (Cd - C) + (Id - I) + (Gd - G) + X
    • = -Cf - If - Gf + X
    • -> X - IM = 0 = NX

Current and Capital Accounts

  • The current account is a country’s net exports of goods and services plus net foreign aid to the country
  • If NX > 0, then there is a trade surplus; if NX < 0, then there is a trade deficit
  • Net (financial) capital outflows: S - I = the net outflow of “lonable funds” = net purchases of foreign assets
    • AKA domestic country’s purchases of foreign assets minus foreign purchases of domestic assets
  • S > I, country is a net lender; S < I, country is a net borrower
  • Capital account is the inverse of net capital outflows
NX=Y(C+I+G)=(YCG)I=(YTCG+T)I=SItrade balance=net capital outflowscurrent account=capital accountcurrent account+capital account=0NX+IS=0NX = Y - (C + I + G) \\ = (Y - C - G) - I \\ = (Y - T - C - G + T) - I = S - I \\ \text{trade balance} = \text{net capital outflows} \\ \text{current account} = -\text{capital account} \\ \text{current account} + \text{capital account} = 0\\ NX + I - S = 0

Is a Current Account (AKA Trade) Deficit Bad?

  • In some cases, yes; in others, no
  • If a country has a trade deficit because they have bad domestic products, then the deficit is bad
  • If a country has a trade deficit because everyone wants to import into the US, then the deficit is good

Open Economy Model

  • Three assumptions
    • Domestic and foreign bonds are perfect substitutes
    • Perfect capital mobilityL no restrictions on international trade in assets
    • Economy is small: cannot affect the world interest rate
  • Similar to the loanable funds model
    • Production function: Y = F(K, L)
    • Consumption function: C = C(Y - T)
    • Investment function: I = I(r)
    • Exogenous policy variables: G bar, T bar, etc.

Exchange Rates

  • Nominal exchange rate (e): The relative price of domestic currency in units of foreign currency
  • Real exchange rate (ε): The relative prive of domestic goods in units of foreign goods
    • Normally equal to 1 (e.g. one JP car is same as one US car)
    • Can be thought of as the relative price of a basket of goods vs. a basket of foreign goods
ϵ=ePdPf\epsilon = e \frac{P^d}{P^f}
  • Exports and imports depend on the exchange rate
    • When ε goes up, US goods become more expensive relative to foreign goods, meaning that exports goes down and imports go up, so net exports goes down
      • X and NX down, IM up
    • When ε goes down, the opposite happens; foreign goods are expensive, so exports goes up and imports go down, so net exports goes up

Real Exchange Rate Equilibrium

  • NX = S - I
    • S is determined on domestic factors, as it represents savings
    • I is determined by the world interest rate r*
    • ε adjusts the net export demand to be equal to the capital account balance

World Economy

  • The world economy is a closed economy
    • Can use closed economy models for the world

Large Open Economies

  • The US and China are considered the two large open economies
    • This means they lie in between a closed economy and a small open economy
    • Analysis of a large open economy will lie between a closed and small open economy; similar to taking the average